Navigating Policy, Trade-offs, and Inclusive Innovation
The Conversations Shaping the Next Chapter for Transit
- Paratransit costs are climbing at a rate that may not be sustainable. APTA chair Leanne Redden has stood up a task force to dig into where that growth is headed.
- Microtransit fills a real gap, but it doesn't yet carry the volume to stand as a primary service mode. Where to deploy it is still being worked out by agencies.
- Governance pressure is building on agencies that serve multiple jurisdictions. Dallas, Illinois, Charlotte, and New Jersey are all seeing live tension between suburban communities and larger regional structures.
- AVs are coming on no agency's timeline but their own. Getting ahead of that matters more than reacting to it.
- Big events show what transit can do beyond daily ridership. The World Cup, the Olympics, and events like them put capacity on display that routine operations never reveal.
"We navigated through the TNC era — partnerships were how we worked our way through. Right now, we're at that point again."
AI Awareness and the Governance Gap
Most agency conversations stop at copilot tools and ChatGPT. Deeper integration, where agentic AI sits inside workflows like accounting, payroll, HR, and eligibility processing, is far less common. The barrier is the data foundation.
"You deploy AI based on a set of assumptions, and if those assumptions are wrong, it's learning bad data."
Contract interpretations drift over years. On-time performance can be calculated five ways inside the same operation. Layer AI onto inconsistent definitions and you get confident answers built on shifting ground. The work happens upstream of any AI deployment. Standardize the definitions, name the owners, build the audit habit.
Universal Mobility Versus Parallel Systems
The accessibility conversation centered on universal mobility. The principle is simple. Design accessibility into the system from the start, not as a compliance review at the end.
TriMet in Oregon came up as a working example. The agency builds disability awareness into hiring, training, and operations, so accessibility is structural rather than bolted on.
The concern about AI is specific. As call centers automate, agencies are deploying these systems without consistent input from the disability community. The research on how riders with verbal, auditory, cognitive, and intellectual disabilities interact with AI agents is still thin. The fix is to invite disability advocates into product development from day one, not at compliance review.
Navigating High-Risk Implementations
The "Sandbox" Approach to Procurement
COTA faced real risk in replacing their 25-year-old paratransit software system. They handled it with a sandbox procurement model. Rather than trust vendor claims, they tested the software against 105 specific business needs over six months, bringing in dispatchers, reservationists, and drivers before committing.
Sandbox period written into the RFP
Specific business needs evaluated against actual data
Fully met at the end of sandbox — go decision in 4.5 months
Operations Leading the Charge
The operations team uses the software every day, so COTA let them lead the procurement and evaluation. That produced higher confidence and better alignment with daily needs than letting IT dictate the choice.
Phased Implementation and Change Management
COTA successfully moved its core paratransit service over in phases. They tackled the core service first, added a digital wallet to cut reliance on cash, and are now digitizing eligibility step by step.
Turning the feature on is roughly 10% of the work. COTA's rider training shows what the other 90% looks like. Monthly orientations now center on the rider app and digital wallet. Travel trainers are out in the community teaching customers how to use the platform. iPads sit at the front desk so walk-in customers can set up accounts on the spot, and outreach to nonprofits and medical providers is planned ahead of the eligibility rollout. Any agency planning a similar transition should budget for this from the start.
- Feature
- Change management
- Enabling it
- Monthly orientations, travel trainers in the community, iPads at the front desk, outreach to nonprofits and medical providers
The AI Era and the Autonomous Horizon
From Reporting to Proactive AI
AI in transit is shifting from answering questions to investigating on its own. Couple it tightly with a solid analytics engine and your whole staff can understand what's happening in the operation without waiting on a data science team.
AI as chat
Staff-facing interfaces, generative summaries, question answering.
Proactive AI
Automated reporting, pattern detection, anomaly alerts before staff is looking.
AI taking action
Dispatch support, case handling, call routing, and predictive maintenance.
Empowering the Frontline
AI isn't just for executives. Tools like Technician Copilot let mechanics speak into a system to log work orders and diagnose issues, capturing asset data that used to disappear on paper clipboards. That feeds straight into vehicle availability, and from there into on-time performance.
AI and the Accessibility Question
AI is being deployed faster than the research on how riders with verbal, auditory, cognitive, or intellectual disabilities interact with it. The disability community isn't consistently at the table when those decisions get made.
The same deployment can produce accessibility gains and accessibility risks at once. For riders with speech impairments, language barriers, or conditions that make phone calls hard, AI Voice is turning out to beat a human call center. It's patient, it asks for clarification without frustration, and it works in more than 60 languages by default. Barriers that used to route these riders away from phone service drop significantly. Closing the gap the rest of the way takes more involvement from the community.
A Framework for Evaluating AI Deployments
Before adopting any AI tool, agencies need a way to stress-test what they're actually buying. Four questions are worth asking:
Is the underlying data accurate enough that the AI isn't learning from bad assumptions?
Can you see why the AI made the decisions it did?
Can you configure it to reflect your specific service rules and rider needs?
Is there a clear human accountable for its outputs?
The Autonomous Vehicle Reality Check
Autonomous vehicles aren't a distant future anymore. They're taking market share in cities like San Francisco, where Waymo has passed Lyft. The economics could reshape how service gets delivered. Today's ride-hailing runs $2.50 per mile, an NYC bus runs $0.50 per mile, and projected autonomous shared service runs $0.10 per mile.
The useful question isn't whether AVs arrive. It's what operations looks like with 10,000 of them in a city, not just two.
Preparing for the AV Integration
The assumption that AVs replace operators one-for-one is probably the wrong model. Vancouver's SkyTrain has run fully autonomous for 40 years, and the work didn't disappear. It shifted. Staff help riders find platforms, assist with the system, and handle customer support. The reframe is worth sitting with. The same budget can deliver far more service when the roles change rather than vanish.
The agencies that end up well positioned aren't running a separate AV strategy. They're doing the foundational work that already pays off elsewhere. Clean, trusted data across modes. An architecture that integrates multiple providers. Policies that anticipate edge cases. The harder questions, labor agreements, curb management for riders with disabilities, paratransit boarding assistance, are ones the industry is working through together, not problems any single agency has to solve alone.
